"Pessimism of the intellect; optimism of the will" ~ Antonio Gramsci

Monday, 28 April 2014

Seeing the Woods for the Trees: Recent Cooperative Crises in Perspective

The Cooperative Model in Crisis?

Cooperatives have gotten a pretty bad press lately. Two recent instances of major cooperative crises, in particular, have received a significant amount of attention: the collapse of the Fagor cooperative, part of the world’s largest cooperative group in the Basque Country, and the series of scandals within the Co-operative Group in the UK, the world’s largest consumer-owned business.

Although a detailed account of each episode would be beyond the scope of this blog (and probably impossible, given that many of the details remain obscure, at least from the perspective of outside observers), a brief synopsis is in order. Fagor is (was) an industrial cooperative in the famous Mondragon group of cooperatives in the Basque Country, the largest such group in the world, which has received plaudits from all quarters for balancing economic efficiency and technological innovation with cooperative values. It recently came to light that Fagor had been making losses for five straight years, incurring debts of around $1.2bn. The group had experienced similar crises in the past, which it managed by voting to support ailing cooperatives until they could once again become profitable. This time, however, the other coops in the group voted not to meet Fagor’s request for bailout funds (despite the Spanish and Basque governments offering to meet them part way), and, unable to find willing creditors elsewhere, the cooperative filed for bankruptcy and was soon dissolved.

The Co-operative Group, a massive conglomerate of consumer coops in the UK, has recently experienced a succession of scandals initiated by the finding that the Chairman at the time, Paul Flowers, had been illegally using expense claims to fund his drug addiction. Soon thereafter, it came to light that the group had been incurring astronomical losses, most of which came from its banking division, leading to its buyout by US hedge funds. To continue this series of unfortunate events, the newly appointed chief executive Euan Sutherland quit after only 10 months in the job, following protests within the group over his pay level; having been entrusted with the task of reforming the group, he claimed that the group was “ungovernable”. Labour is now moving to sever its historical ties with the Group.

Does this double-punch of failures in the world’s paragons of producer and consumer cooperatives imply that there is something inherently wrong with the cooperative model? The Economist seems to think so. Commenting on Fagor’s collapse, it sneered that “The co-operative model has its virtues, but there are times when those nasty, money-obsessed capitalists have their uses too”. Its analysis of the Co-operative Bank’s predicaments similarly jeered that “its vaunted model means it cannot speedily raise equity”. I, however, beg to differ, due to three overlapping sources of bias that plague the evaluation of the cooperative model: experimental bias; cognitive bias; and institutional bias.
               

Experimental Bias

                It should firstly be noted that there is really no such as thing as ‘the cooperative model’. There is the Mondragon model, there is the Co-operative Group model, and there are countless other cooperative models, all of which differ. Even if recent events represented a malfunction of one of these models, that would not imply that cooperatives in general are inherently unworkable. Furthermore, the failure of one feature of one of these models does not imply that the model as a whole has failed. For instance, the Co-op’s recent plight may indeed stem from its complex governance structure; but that structure is a historical relic, unique to the federalism of the UK consumer co-op movement.

                In any case, even if there were such thing as a ‘cooperative model’, to what is it being compared? When a traditional (capitalist) firm fails, people never ask whether this is the fault of the ‘capitalist model’ of organisation. Rather, they attribute it to adverse economic conditions, or even say that capitalism is simply doing its job (“creative destruction” and all that). When a cooperative fails, however, they automatically treat it is evidence that the ‘cooperative model’ doesn’t work. For example, the causes of Fagor’s collapse – lack of domestic demand, low-wage competition from China – have afflicted the entire Spanish economy, especially the industrial sector, which has been declining in most of the Western world. Indeed, it is probably because these problems are structural (and therefore affect all firms in the economy, capitalist or cooperative) that the other coops voted not to support it.

If anything, Fagor’s collapse demonstrates the strength of the Mondragon model. After only four months, the Mondragon group relocated nearly all of the redundant workers (867 to be precise) in other coops, with the rest (e.g. those who were anyway close to retirement) receiving ‘early retirement’ packages. Such practices are exceptionally rare, as the sky-high Spanish unemployment rate (26% in the last quarter of 2013, and over double that for young people) attests. In fact, during Spain’s economic recession, when net mortality rates have been through the roof, cooperatives in the Basque Country have experienced net business creation.

A similar point can be made with regard to the Co-op, albeit with lesser force. The massive losses incurred by the group originate primarily from its banking division (£2.1bn of the £2.5bn losses for 2013), which, as a result of its flopped takeover of Britannia, was bought out by US hedge funds last year. During the financial crisis, however, the Co-op Bank was seen as a resilient outlier, persevering when the rest of the financial sector was going pear-shaped. At the time of writing, the government is still trying to sell off its massive stake in the Lloyds Banking Group.


Cognitive Bias
              
                This last point leads on to the second reason why cooperative organisation has not been undermined by recent events: recent events, although ‘fresher’ in the mind, are not necessarily representative of historical trends. According to Wikipedia (I hope you appreciate the high standard of scholarly research), “the availability heuristic is a mental shortcut that relies on immediate examples that come to mind. The availability heuristic operates on the notion that if something can be recalled, it must be important. Subsequently, people tend to heavily weigh their judgments toward more recent information, making new opinions biased toward that latest news.” In the case of the two examples discussed in this blog, this cognitive bias is exacerbated by the fact that both of the failed/failing coops have symbolic appeal. Fagor was the offspring of the first cooperative in the Mondragon group, founded with the assistance of the charismatic priest who is still venerated as the group’s architect (at the time of its collapse, however, it represented a small fraction of the group’s total turnover). The Co-operative Group in the UK, meanwhile, traces its ancestry to the birth of the consumer coop movement in Manchester, where the legendary ‘Rochdale Pioneers’ established the first coop store during the Industrial Revolution. 


Institutional Bias

                Some may retort that cooperative failure is, in fact, a historical trend. For instance, they could cite Beatrice Webb’s survey of the UK cooperative movement in the 1800s, which concluded that producer coops were doomed to failure in a capitalist economy. However, that very example demonstrates the third point, namely that efficiency is not absolute – it is only meaningful in relation to the current institutional environment. A host of authors have noted that cooperatives suffer from ‘institutional bias’, as prevailing systems of finance, education, and law, are catered towards prevailing modes of organisation. In an economy with a higher frequency of cooperatives, cooperatives would likely be more efficient, because these systems would be more conducive to cooperative organisation. A case in point might be the Co-op Bank: as a mutual, it was supposed to stick to ‘simple’ activities like mortgages, pensions, and deposits, rather than dabbling in the financial alchemy, investment banking, and other risky activities. Although this made the Bank more stable (and arguably closer to what banking should resemble), it also made it less competitive vis-à-vis mainstream banks, which were (at one point, anyway) making astronomical profits.



Conclusion        

There is an assumption, widespread amongst both academics and laypeople, that capitalist organisation is the ‘natural order’ of things, and that cooperative organisation represents a deviation from that natural order. As Karl Polanyi demonstrates in his 1944 book The Great Transformation, however, the latter is actually the more ‘primal’ of the two, with the former only recently coming to predominate. Indeed, whereas Jensen and Meckling (1979) point out that cooperative organisation usually emerges and persists due to social movements and ‘artificial regulation’ rather than ‘natural market forces’, and submit that is as evidence that cooperatives are generally inefficient, Polanyi shows that the capitalist order was itself a fabrication of the landed elite, devised to protect their private interests. This misconception could well be the source – it is certainly a source – of all three biases discussed in this blog: experimental (it skews comparisons of capitalist and cooperative organisation), cognitive (it gives priority to recent events), and institutional (it ignores that the current institutional environment militates against cooperatives).

Barring the recent popularity of ‘randomised control trials’ (and even then), social science is not experimental in the manner of the natural sciences. For lack of a counterfactual (or a sufficient number of counterfactuals), it may therefore be impossible to fully remove these biases. However, for that very reason, it is worthwhile to remember that isolated instances of cooperative failures cannot be taken as evidence, let alone proof, that cooperative organisation is inherently flawed.